Electricity and gas price forecast for Hungary until 2017Uploaded: 1 of April, 2012

The objective of this work is to assist the mid-term (2013-17) business planning procedure of GDF Suez Energia Holding Hungary Zrt by providing quantitative and qualitative inputs for its scenario planning process.

The following tasks have been completed:

  • Forecasts for those major exogenous variables affecting the wider business environment of this company: GDP evolution, exchange rate evolution, CO2 price development, European spot gas price development, oil price development
  • Gas wholesale price forecasts with two alternatives: oil linked and a more market linked version
  • Electricity wholesale price forecast (peak and baseload) based on REKK’s in-house regional electricity market model runs
  • Forecast of aggregate and sectorial gas demand for Hungary.